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ASSETS – modeller meeting (January 14th‐16th, 2013)

On Monday 14th January, Carlos, Felix, Terry and I landed in Bilbao to attend a modelling meeting with the team at the Basque Centre for Climate Change. Despite never-ending torrents of rain, the meeting was extremely productive. We developed a modelling strategy, resolving to use processed-based models to determine the stock of ecosystem services, but an agent-based approach to incorporate the actions of humans. We elect to work at two spatial scales: a village-level scale (relevant to the rural poor); and a sub-national scale (relevant to policy makers). We will adopt the simplest adequate models, maximising the transparency of our models, but ensure they are fully-coupled, enabling possible tipping points as a result of these feedback loops to be identified. Our current modelling strategy enables us to investigate population increases, climate change, changes in land use management, and changes in policy. ASSETS plans to liaise with local policy-makers to ensure that our scenarios are both relevant and useful to those in a position to effect decision-making.

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Upcoming Events

Sep
20
Sat
all-day ASSETS Team meets in Pucallpa
ASSETS Team meets in Pucallpa
Sep 20 – Sep 26 all-day
Modellers and social scientist of the ASSETS team meet to discuss latest data collections, visits the field sites and start working on joint publications.
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7
Mon
all-day XIV World Forestry Congress
XIV World Forestry Congress
Sep 7 – Sep 11 all-day
XIV World Forestry Congress @ Durban | KwaZulu-Natal | South Africa
Forests and People: Investing in a Sustainable Future Preliminary Website

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